'26
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?
resolves Oct 1, 2026 · source: https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
Anthropic 84%
OpenAI 6%
DeepSeek 0.5%
Google 0.5%
Microsoft 0.5%
Moonshot 0.5%
Tencent 0.5%
Nvidia 0.5%
SpaceXAI 0.5%
ByteDance 0.5%
Z.ai 0.5%
Alibaba 0.5%
Someone else 5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
AN
Anthropic
LEADER
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YES 84.13¢
NO 15.87¢
OP
OpenAI
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YES 6.25¢
NO 93.75¢
DE
DeepSeek
no 24h history yet
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
GO
Google
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MI
Microsoft
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MO
Moonshot
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
TE
Tencent
no 24h history yet
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
NV
Nvidia
no 24h history yet
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SP
SpaceXAI
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
BY
ByteDance
no 24h history yet
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ZA
Z.ai
no 24h history yet
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
AL
Alibaba
no 24h history yet
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
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%
YES 4.81¢
NO 95.19¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
AN
Anthropic
chance
84%
YES · 84.13¢
NO · 15.87¢
STAKE
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shares @ 84.13¢
118.9
if Anthropic wins
+$13 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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AN
Anthropic
YES 84.13¢ · NO 15.87¢ · chance 84%
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