'26
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?
resolves Oct 1, 2026 · source: https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
OpenAI 10%
Anthropic 84%
SpaceXAI 1%
Meta 0.5%
Nvidia 0.5%
Z.ai 0.5%
Meituan 0.5%
Tencent 0.5%
MiniMax 0.5%
ByteDance 0.5%
Amazon 0.5%
StepFun 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
OP
OpenAI
no 24h history yet
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9
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YES 9.9¢
NO 90.1¢
AN
Anthropic
LEADER
no 24h history yet
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9
0
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9
%
YES 84.39¢
NO 15.61¢
SP
SpaceXAI
no 24h history yet
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ME
Meta
no 24h history yet
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9
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0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
NV
Nvidia
no 24h history yet
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9
.
0
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9
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ZA
Z.ai
no 24h history yet
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ME
Meituan
no 24h history yet
0
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
TE
Tencent
no 24h history yet
0
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.
0
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
MI
MiniMax
no 24h history yet
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9
.
0
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9
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
BY
ByteDance
no 24h history yet
0
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.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
AM
Amazon
no 24h history yet
0
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
ST
StepFun
no 24h history yet
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9
.
0
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
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.
0
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YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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OP
OpenAI
chance
10%
YES · 9.9¢
NO · 90.1¢
STAKE
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shares @ 9.9¢
1010.1
if OpenAI wins
+$860 profit
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OP
OpenAI
YES 9.9¢ · NO 90.1¢ · chance 10%
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