'26
What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
resolves Sep 30, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
$446K - $454K 13%
<$446K 13%
$470K - $478K 13%
$486K+ 13%
$454K - $462K 13%
$462K - $470K 13%
$478K - $486K 13%
Someone else 13%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
$$
$446K - $454K
+0.0pt today
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%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
<$
<$446K
+0.0pt today
0
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9
0
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%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$$
$470K - $478K
+0.0pt today
0
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9
0
1
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9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$4
$486K+
+0.0pt today
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%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$$
$454K - $462K
+0.0pt today
0
1
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9
0
1
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9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$$
$462K - $470K
+0.0pt today
0
1
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8
9
0
1
2
3
4
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9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$$
$478K - $486K
+0.0pt today
0
1
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8
9
0
1
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9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
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9
0
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9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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fee 5% at settlement
$$
$446K - $454K
chance
13%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 12.5¢
NO · 87.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 12.5¢
800.0
if $446K - $454K wins
+$660 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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$$
$446K - $454K
YES 12.5¢ · NO 87.5¢ · chance 13%
TICKET
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