'26
What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
resolves Sep 30, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
$636K - $663K 13%
$609K - $636K 13%
$689K+ 13%
$663K - $689K 13%
$555K - $582K 13%
<$555K 13%
$582K - $609K 13%
Someone else 13%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
$$
$636K - $663K
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
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5
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7
8
9
0
1
2
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8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$$
$609K - $636K
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
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5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$6
$689K+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$$
$663K - $689K
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$$
$555K - $582K
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
<$
<$555K
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
$$
$582K - $609K
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
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5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
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5
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8
9
%
YES 12.5¢
NO 87.5¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
$$
$636K - $663K
chance
13%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 12.5¢
NO · 87.5¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 12.5¢
800.0
if $636K - $663K wins
+$660 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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$$
$636K - $663K
YES 12.5¢ · NO 87.5¢ · chance 13%
TICKET
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