'26
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
resolves Oct 31, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
Raphael Glucksmann 70%
Boris Vallaud 1%
Francois Hollande 0.5%
Philippe Brun 1%
Olivier Faure 21%
Segolene Royal 2%
Karim Bouamrane 0.5%
Bernard Cazeneuve 0.5%
Carole Delga 2%
Jérôme Guedj 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
RG
Raphael Glucksmann
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 70.09¢
NO 29.91¢
BV
Boris Vallaud
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
FH
Francois Hollande
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
PB
Philippe Brun
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
OF
Olivier Faure
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20.73¢
NO 79.27¢
SR
Segolene Royal
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.47¢
NO 97¢
KB
Karim Bouamrane
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
BC
Bernard Cazeneuve
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
CD
Carole Delga
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
JG
Jérôme Guedj
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
RG
Raphael Glucksmann
chance
70%
YES · 70.09¢
NO · 29.91¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 70.09¢
142.7
if Raphael Glucksmann wins
+$36 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
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RG
Raphael Glucksmann
YES 70.09¢ · NO 29.91¢ · chance 70%
TRADE
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