'26
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
resolves Oct 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Tarcísio de Freitas 8%
Kim Kataguiri 8%
Fernando Haddad 8%
Erika Hilton 8%
Márcio França 8%
Other 8%
Placeholder 2 8%
Placeholder 3 8%
Placeholder 4 8%
Placeholder 5 8%
Placeholder 6 8%
Placeholder 7 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
TF
Tarcísio de Freitas
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
KK
Kim Kataguiri
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
FH
Fernando Haddad
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
EH
Erika Hilton
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MF
Márcio França
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
OT
Other
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
P2
Placeholder 2
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
P3
Placeholder 3
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
P4
Placeholder 4
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
P5
Placeholder 5
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
P6
Placeholder 6
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
P7
Placeholder 7
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
TF
Tarcísio de Freitas
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 7.69¢
NO · 92.31¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.69¢
1300.4
if Tarcísio de Freitas wins
+$1135 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
Sign in to trade
Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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✦
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ACTIVITY
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Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
TF
Tarcísio de Freitas
YES 7.69¢ · NO 92.31¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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