'26
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
resolves Sep 6, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
38-41 14%
42-45 14%
34-37 14%
<34 14%
46-49 14%
50+ 14%
Someone else 14%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
38
38-41
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.29¢
NO 85.71¢
42
42-45
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.29¢
NO 85.71¢
34
34-37
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.29¢
NO 85.71¢
<3
<34
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.29¢
NO 85.71¢
46
46-49
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.29¢
NO 85.71¢
50
50+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.29¢
NO 85.71¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.29¢
NO 85.71¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
38
38-41
chance
14%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 14.29¢
NO · 85.71¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 14.29¢
699.8
if 38-41 wins
+$565 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
38
38-41
YES 14.29¢ · NO 85.71¢ · chance 14%
TICKET
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