'26
Next Claude Opus released on...?
resolves Oct 1, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
September 21 8%
No release by September 30 9%
September 22 55%
September 24 10%
September 23 6%
September 30 2%
September 29 4%
September 25 3%
September 27 1%
September 26 1%
September 28 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
S2
September 21
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.44¢
NO 91.56¢
N3
No release by September 30
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.58¢
NO 91.42¢
S2
September 22
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 55.32¢
NO 44.68¢
S2
September 24
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10.01¢
NO 89.99¢
S2
September 23
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.34¢
NO 93.66¢
S3
September 30
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
S2
September 29
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.48¢
NO 95.52¢
S2
September 25
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.67¢
NO 97¢
S2
September 27
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
S2
September 26
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
S2
September 28
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
S2
September 21
chance
8%
YES · 8.44¢
NO · 91.56¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 8.44¢
1184.8
if September 21 wins
+$1026 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
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ACTIVITY
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Practice mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
S2
September 21
YES 8.44¢ · NO 91.56¢ · chance 8%
TRADE
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