'26
MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory
resolves Nov 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME
ILLUSTRATIVE
24H
7D
30D
90D
Democrat 3%+ 90%
Republican 0-3% 5%
Democrat 0-3% 2%
Republican 3-6% 0.5%
Republican 9-12% 0.5%
Republican 6-9% 0.5%
Republican 12-15% 0.5%
Republican 18-21% 0.5%
Republican 21%+ 0.5%
Republican 15-18% 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
D3
Democrat 3%+
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 89.56¢
NO 10.44¢
R0
Republican 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.74¢
NO 95.26¢
D0
Democrat 0-3%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R3
Republican 3-6%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R9
Republican 9-12%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R6
Republican 6-9%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R1
Republican 12-15%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R1
Republican 18-21%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R2
Republican 21%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
R1
Republican 15-18%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
D3
Democrat 3%+
chance
90%
YES · 89.56¢
NO · 10.44¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 89.56¢
111.7
if Democrat 3%+ wins
+$6 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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D3
Democrat 3%+
YES 89.56¢ · NO 10.44¢ · chance 90%
TRADE
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