'26
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?
resolves Sep 20, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
31%+ 68%
25-28% 11%
28-31% 19%
<25% 2%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
31
31%+
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 68.37¢
NO 31.63¢
25
25-28%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10.59¢
NO 89.41¢
28
28-31%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 18.78¢
NO 81.22¢
<2
<25%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
RELATED MARKETS
world
LIVE
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
$0 24h vol
world
LIVE
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
$0 24h vol
crypto
LIVE
BTC/USD — above or below in 10 minutes?
live rounds →
PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
31
31%+
chance
68%
YES · 68.37¢
NO · 31.63¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 68.37¢
146.3
if 31%+ wins
+$39 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Sign in to trade
Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
MY POSITIONS
Sign in to see your positions on this market.
✦
Every settled trade earns Points while the testnet runs —
see what earns Points →
ACTIVITY
No trades on this market yet.
predictbay.io
Practice mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
31
31%+
YES 68.37¢ · NO 31.63¢ · chance 68%
TRADE
Sign in to trade