'26
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?
resolves Sep 20, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
38%+ 46%
32-35% 2%
35-38% 51%
<32% 1%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
38
38%+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 46.39¢
NO 53.61¢
32
32-35%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
35
35-38%
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 50.78¢
NO 49.22¢
<3
<32%
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
RELATED MARKETS
sports
LIVE
1Q Spread: 49ers (-3.5)
$0 24h vol
sports
LIVE
1H Spread: Dolphins (-6.5)
$0 24h vol
crypto
LIVE
BTC/USD — above or below in 10 minutes?
live rounds →
PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
38
38%+
chance
46%
YES · 46.39¢
NO · 53.61¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 46.39¢
215.6
if 38%+ wins
+$105 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Sign in to trade
Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
MY POSITIONS
Sign in to see your positions on this market.
✦
Every settled trade earns Points while the testnet runs —
see what earns Points →
ACTIVITY
No trades on this market yet.
predictbay.io
Practice mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
38
38%+
YES 46.39¢ · NO 53.61¢ · chance 46%
TRADE
Sign in to trade