'26
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 20?
resolves Sep 20, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
30°C 7%
34°C 1%
31°C 2%
32°C 63%
33°C 19%
35°C 0.5%
29°C 0.5%
36°C 0.5%
37°C 0.5%
38°C or higher 0.5%
28°C or below 0.5%
Someone else 4%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
30
30°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 6.73¢
NO 93.27¢
34
34°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
31
31°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.29¢
NO 97¢
32
32°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 62.87¢
NO 37.13¢
33
33°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 19.49¢
NO 80.51¢
35
35°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
29
29°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
36
36°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
37
37°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
38°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2B
28°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.24¢
NO 95.76¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
30
30°C
chance
7%
YES · 6.73¢
NO · 93.27¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 6.73¢
1485.9
if 30°C wins
+$1312 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Trading closed on this market
Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
MY POSITIONS
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✦
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
Practice mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
30
30°C
YES 6.73¢ · NO 93.27¢ · chance 7%
TRADE
Trading closed on this market