'26
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
resolves Sep 15, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
RESOLVED · 28°C won
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
28°C 95%
29°C 0.5%
27°C 0.5%
30°C 0.5%
26°C 0.5%
31°C 0.5%
32°C 0.5%
25°C 0.5%
33°C 0.5%
34°C or higher 0.5%
24°C or below 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
28
28°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 94.77¢
NO 5.23¢
29
29°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
30
30°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
26
26°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
31
31°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
32
32°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
25
25°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
33
33°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
34°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2B
24°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
28
28°C
chance
95%
YES · 94.77¢
NO · 5.23¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 94.77¢
105.5
if 28°C wins
≈$0 · breaks even
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Trading closed on this market
Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
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28
28°C
YES 94.77¢ · NO 5.23¢ · chance 95%
TRADE
Trading closed on this market