'26
Highest temperature in Paris on September 20?
resolves Sep 20, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
22°C 14%
25°C 4%
24°C 20%
23°C 55%
20°C or below 0.5%
26°C 1%
21°C 0.5%
28°C 0.5%
30°C or higher 0.5%
27°C 0.5%
29°C 0.5%
Someone else 3%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
22
22°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 13.65¢
NO 86.35¢
25
25°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.9¢
NO 96.1¢
24
24°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 20.48¢
NO 79.52¢
23
23°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 55.1¢
NO 44.9¢
2B
20°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
26
26°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
21
21°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
28
28°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
30°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
29
29°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.41¢
NO 96.59¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
22
22°C
chance
14%
YES · 13.65¢
NO · 86.35¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 13.65¢
732.6
if 22°C wins
+$596 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Trading closed on this market
Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
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ACTIVITY
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22
22°C
YES 13.65¢ · NO 86.35¢ · chance 14%
TRADE
Trading closed on this market