'26
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 20?
resolves Sep 20, 2026 · source: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
27°C 0.5%
26°C 0.5%
28°C 42%
30°C 9%
25°C 0.5%
29°C 45%
31°C 0.5%
24°C or below 0.5%
32°C 0.5%
34°C or higher 0.5%
33°C 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
27
27°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
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8
9
.
0
1
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
26
26°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
28
28°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 41.63¢
NO 58.37¢
30
30°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
25
25°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
29
29°C
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 44.98¢
NO 55.02¢
31
31°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
2B
24°C or below
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
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5
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
32
32°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
3H
34°C or higher
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
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8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
33
33°C
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
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4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
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8
9
.
0
1
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9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
27
27°C
chance
0.5%
YES · 2¢
NO · 97¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 2¢
5000.0
if 27°C wins
+$4650 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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27
27°C
YES 2¢ · NO 97¢ · chance 0.5%
TRADE
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