'26
Elon Musk # tweets September 3 - September 5, 2026?
resolves Sep 5, 2026 · source: https://x.com/elonmusk
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
40-64 9%
90-114 9%
115-139 9%
65-89 9%
<40 9%
190-214 9%
165-189 9%
240+ 9%
140-164 9%
215-239 9%
Someone else 9%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
40
40-64
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
90
90-114
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
11
115-139
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
65
65-89
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
<4
<40
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
19
190-214
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
16
165-189
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
24
240+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
14
140-164
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
21
215-239
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.09¢
NO 90.91¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
40
40-64
chance
9%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 9.09¢
NO · 90.91¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 9.09¢
1100.1
if 40-64 wins
+$945 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
Sign in to trade
Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
MY POSITIONS
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predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
40
40-64
YES 9.09¢ · NO 90.91¢ · chance 9%
TICKET
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