'26
Elon Musk # tweets September 17 - September 19, 2026?
resolves Sep 19, 2026 · source: https://x.com/elonmusk
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
<40 12%
65-89 23%
165-189 0.5%
90-114 5%
40-64 55%
115-139 1%
240+ 0.5%
190-214 0.5%
140-164 0.5%
215-239 0.5%
Someone else 2%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
<4
<40
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 11.8¢
NO 88.2¢
65
65-89
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 23.11¢
NO 76.89¢
16
165-189
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
90
90-114
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 4.52¢
NO 95.48¢
40
40-64
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 55.06¢
NO 44.94¢
11
115-139
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
24
240+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
19
190-214
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
14
140-164
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
21
215-239
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
RELATED MARKETS
pop-culture
LIVE
Will Victor Glover be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
$0 24h vol
pop-culture
LIVE
Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
$0 24h vol
crypto
LIVE
BTC/USD — above or below in 10 minutes?
live rounds →
PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
<4
<40
chance
12%
YES · 11.8¢
NO · 88.2¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 11.8¢
847.5
if <40 wins
+$705 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Sign in to trade
Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
MY POSITIONS
Sign in to see your positions on this market.
✦
Every settled trade earns Points while the testnet runs —
see what earns Points →
ACTIVITY
No trades on this market yet.
predictbay.io
Practice mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
<4
<40
YES 11.8¢ · NO 88.2¢ · chance 12%
TRADE
Sign in to trade