'26
Elon Musk # tweets September 14 - September 16, 2026?
resolves Sep 16, 2026 · source: https://x.com/elonmusk
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
<40 16%
90-114 3%
65-89 21%
115-139 1%
190-214 0.5%
40-64 56%
140-164 0.5%
240+ 0.5%
165-189 0.5%
215-239 0.5%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
<4
<40
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.11¢
NO 83.89¢
90
90-114
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 3.08¢
NO 96.92¢
65
65-89
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 21¢
NO 79¢
11
115-139
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
19
190-214
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
40
40-64
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 56.15¢
NO 43.85¢
14
140-164
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
24
240+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
16
165-189
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
21
215-239
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
<4
<40
chance
16%
YES · 16.11¢
NO · 83.89¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 16.11¢
620.7
if <40 wins
+$490 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
Practice mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
<4
<40
YES 16.11¢ · NO 83.89¢ · chance 16%
TRADE
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