'26
Closest Senate Race?
resolves Nov 1, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
Ohio (Special) 11%
Alaska 9%
Michigan 5%
Virginia 3%
Iowa 16%
Nebraska 9%
Texas 14%
Maine 9%
Montana 2%
Minnesota 1%
North Carolina 1%
Colorado 0.5%
Someone else 18%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
O(
Ohio (Special)
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 10.83¢
NO 89.17¢
AL
Alaska
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 9.48¢
NO 90.52¢
MI
Michigan
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 5.39¢
NO 94.61¢
VI
Virginia
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.64¢
NO 97¢
IO
Iowa
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.17¢
NO 83.83¢
NE
Nebraska
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.88¢
NO 91.12¢
TE
Texas
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 14.47¢
NO 85.53¢
MA
Maine
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.98¢
NO 91.02¢
MO
Montana
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.25¢
NO 97¢
MI
Minnesota
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
NC
North Carolina
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
CO
Colorado
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 18.01¢
NO 81.99¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
O(
Ohio (Special)
chance
11%
YES · 10.83¢
NO · 89.17¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 10.83¢
923.4
if Ohio (Special) wins
+$777 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
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O(
Ohio (Special)
YES 10.83¢ · NO 89.17¢ · chance 11%
TRADE
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