'26
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
resolves Oct 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
Renan Santos 8%
Ratinho Júnior 8%
Ronaldo Caiado 8%
Eduardo Bolsonaro 8%
Flávio Bolsonaro 8%
Romeu Zema 8%
Fernando Haddad 8%
Camilo Santana 8%
Michelle Bolsonaro 8%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 8%
Geraldo Alckmin 8%
Aldo Rebelo 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
RS
Renan Santos
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
RJ
Ratinho Júnior
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
RC
Ronaldo Caiado
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
EB
Eduardo Bolsonaro
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
FB
Flávio Bolsonaro
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
RZ
Romeu Zema
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
FH
Fernando Haddad
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
CS
Camilo Santana
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
MB
Michelle Bolsonaro
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
LS
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
GA
Geraldo Alckmin
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
AR
Aldo Rebelo
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 7.69¢
NO 92.31¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
RS
Renan Santos
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 7.69¢
NO · 92.31¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 7.69¢
1300.4
if Renan Santos wins
+$1135 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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RS
Renan Santos
YES 7.69¢ · NO 92.31¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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