'26
Bitcoin price on September 4?
resolves Sep 4, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
<70,000 8%
70,000-72,000 8%
74,000-76,000 8%
76,000-78,000 8%
80,000-82,000 8%
82,000-84,000 8%
72,000-74,000 8%
78,000-80,000 8%
>88,000 8%
84,000-86,000 8%
86,000-88,000 8%
Someone else 8%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
<7
<70,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
70
70,000-72,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
74
74,000-76,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
76
76,000-78,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
80
80,000-82,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
82
82,000-84,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
72
72,000-74,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
78
78,000-80,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
>8
>88,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
84
84,000-86,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
86
86,000-88,000
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 8.33¢
NO 91.67¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
<7
<70,000
chance
8%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 8.33¢
NO · 91.67¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 8.33¢
1200.5
if <70,000 wins
+$1040 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
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predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
<7
<70,000
YES 8.33¢ · NO 91.67¢ · chance 8%
TICKET
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