'26
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?
resolves Oct 1, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PRACTICE MODE · LIVE
CHANCE OVER TIME · 90 DAYS
0-5 70%
5-10 23%
10-15 3%
25-30 1%
15-20 1%
20-25 1%
30+ 2%
Someone else 0.5%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
0-
0-5
LEADER
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 70.15¢
NO 29.85¢
5-
5-10
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 23.07¢
NO 76.93¢
10
10-15
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.64¢
NO 97¢
25
25-30
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
15
15-20
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
20
20-25
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
30
30+
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2.07¢
NO 97¢
SE
Someone else
no 24h history yet
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 2¢
NO 97¢
prices in ¢ = the chance · a winning share pays $1
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PLACE A TRADE · PRACTICE
fee 5% at settlement
0-
0-5
chance
70%
YES · 70.15¢
NO · 29.85¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 70.15¢
142.6
if 0-5 wins
+$35 profit
estimate — the final price is set when you buy
Sign in to trade
Practice balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share pays $1; sell any time before then.
MY POSITIONS
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✦
Every settled trade earns Points while the testnet runs —
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ACTIVITY
No trades on this market yet.
predictbay.io
Practice mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
0-
0-5
YES 70.15¢ · NO 29.85¢ · chance 70%
TRADE
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