'26
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?
resolves Aug 31, 2026 · source: Polymarket
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
0-20 17%
20-40 17%
40-60 17%
80+ 17%
60-80 17%
Someone else 17%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
0-
0-20
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
20
20-40
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
40
40-60
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
80
80+
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
60
60-80
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
SE
Someone else
+0.0pt today
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
%
YES 16.67¢
NO 83.33¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
0-
0-20
chance
17%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 16.67¢
NO · 83.33¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 16.67¢
599.9
if 0-20 wins
+$470 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
Trading closed on this market
Paper balance only — nothing at risk. A winning share redeems for $1 at settlement; sell any time before.
MY POSITIONS
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ACTIVITY
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predictbay.io
Paper mode only — no real funds · outcomes and resolution rules are sourced from Polymarket; prices are set entirely by trading here
0-
0-20
YES 16.67¢ · NO 83.33¢ · chance 17%
TICKET
Trading closed on this market