'26
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win more than 87.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
resolves Oct 5, 2026 · source: https://www.mlb.com/standings/
24H VOLUME
$0
TRADERS
0
PAPER MODE · LIVE
IMPLIED PROBABILITY · 90 DAYS
O 87.5 50%
U 87.5 50%
OUTCOME
CHANCE
BUY
O5
O 87.5
+0.0pt today
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YES 50¢
NO 50¢
U5
U 87.5
+0.0pt today
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YES 50¢
NO 50¢
prices in ¢ = implied probability · a winning share redeems for $1
paper book · chances always sum to 100%
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ORDER TICKET · PAPER
fee 5% at settlement
O5
O 87.5
chance
50%
· pick an outcome on the left
YES · 50¢
NO · 50¢
STAKE
$25
$100
$250
$500
shares @ 50¢
200.0
if O 87.5 wins
+$90 profit
estimate — the server prices the fill, including your own impact
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O5
O 87.5
YES 50¢ · NO 50¢ · chance 50%
TICKET
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